Modelling climate and societal resilience in the eastern mediterranean in the last millennium
Author
dc.contributor.author
Xoplaki, Elena
Author
dc.contributor.author
Luterbacher, Juerg
Author
dc.contributor.author
Wagner, Sebastian
Author
dc.contributor.author
Zorita, Eduardo
Author
dc.contributor.author
Fleitmann, Dominik
Author
dc.contributor.author
Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes
Author
dc.contributor.author
Sargent, Abigail M.
Author
dc.contributor.author
White, Sam
Author
dc.contributor.author
Toreti, Andrea
Author
dc.contributor.author
Haldon, John F.
Author
dc.contributor.author
Mordechai, Lee
Author
dc.contributor.author
Bozkurt, Deniz
Author
dc.contributor.author
Akcer-On, Sena
Author
dc.contributor.author
Izdebski, Adam
Admission date
dc.date.accessioned
2018-11-09T14:01:30Z
Available date
dc.date.available
2018-11-09T14:01:30Z
Publication date
dc.date.issued
2018-06
Cita de ítem
dc.identifier.citation
Human Ecology Volumen: 46 Número: 3 Páginas: 363-379
es_ES
Identifier
dc.identifier.other
10.1007/s10745-018-9995-9
Identifier
dc.identifier.uri
https://repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/152539
Abstract
dc.description.abstract
This article analyses high-quality hydroclimate proxy records and spatial reconstructions from the Central and Eastern Mediterranean and compares them with two Earth System Model simulations (CCSM4, MPI-ESM-P) for the Crusader period in the Levant (1095-1290 CE), the Mamluk regime in Transjordan (1260-1516 CE) and the Ottoman crisis and CelA cent lI Rebellion (1580-1610 CE). During the three time intervals, environmental and climatic stress tested the resilience of complex societies. We find that the multidecadal precipitation and drought variations in the Central and Eastern Mediterranean cannot be explained by external forcings (solar variations, tropical volcanism); rather they were driven by internal climate dynamics. Our research emphasises the challenges, opportunities and limitations of linking proxy records, palaeoreconstructions and model simulations to better understand how climate can affect human history.
es_ES
Patrocinador
dc.description.sponsorship
National Programme for the Development of the Humanities, Poland
Swiss National Science Foundation
PP002-110554/1
German Science Foundation (DFG) project AFICHE
Belmont Forum
JPIClimate
Collaborative Research Action