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Authordc.contributor.authorCanals Lambarri, Mauricio 
Admission datedc.date.accessioned2011-05-18T15:11:45Z
Available datedc.date.available2011-05-18T15:11:45Z
Publication datedc.date.issued2010-08-02
Cita de ítemdc.identifier.citationRev. méd. Chile v.138 n.9 Santiago sep. 2010es_CL
Identifierdc.identifier.issn0034-9887
Identifierdc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/119197
Abstractdc.description.abstractIn order to increase awareness of the pandemic and to streamline control measures before any new outbreak of infl uenza we analyze the behavior of the cases of Chile and from 9 countries with more cases in 2009. Reproductive numbers, doubling times and estimations of susceptible and infected at the end of the epidemic were estimated. Epidemic curves to the situation in Chile under different initial conditions were adjusted and simulations for different reproductive numbers and notifi cation scenarios were performed. The reproductive numbers varied between 1.37 and 1.82, with doubling times of between 5 and 8 days at 30 days of the epidemic. According to this, the proportions of infected by the end of the epidemic vary between 58% and 78.5%. The transmission coeffi cient ranged from 2 to 132 new cases per day x 106 susceptible individuals. The adjustments showed that the onset of the epidemic probably had more cases than reported. All estimates suggest that there must have been a large number of susceptible and therefore can not be explained as small outbreaks in 2009. A large number of susceptible individuals may still exist who are at risk from a possible new outbreak.es_CL
Lenguagedc.language.isoeses_CL
Publisherdc.publisherSociedad Médica de Santiagoes_CL
Keywordsdc.subjectDisease outbreakses_CL
Títulodc.titleAnálisis comparado de la dinámica epidemiológica de la Influenza A (H1N1) en Chilees_CL
Document typedc.typeArtículo de revista


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